Saturday, July 16, 1994

A Once-In-A-Lifetime Dream

Hubble Space Telescope Composite of Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 and Jupiter
(click to go to NASA description and enlargement) Millions of miles away from my home here on Earth, a chain of twenty or so pieces of a broken-up comet streaks toward Jupiter. The first piece of Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 has already crashed into Jupiter. The second one, "Fragment B," will reach the planet this evening. That's the only impact that will occur while Jupiter is visible from the East Coast, according to an article I read in the July 9 issue of Science News. Never again in my lifetime will I have an opportunity to witness a comet hitting a planet! That thought captivates me. If there's something to be seen, I want to see it!

This is not the first time this comet has visited Jupiter. Named for its discoverers Eugene M. and Carolyn S. Shoemaker and David H. Levy, who first observed it in March 1993, Shoemaker-Levy 9 has been orbiting Jupiter for a number of years now, skimming ever closer to that planet on each flyby. On its last flyby in July of 1992, it Image of CometP/Shoemaker-Levy9 (1993e) Fragments Labeled with Letter Names passed a little too close and was ripped apart by Jupiter's gravity. The resulting much smaller pieces will not have enough energy to sail past Jupiter when they return this week. In May of last year, Brian G. Marsden of the Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory predicted that the entire chain of comet fragments would collide with Jupiter this month.

Before I can look for the Fragment B crash, I will need some basic information. Really basic. Like, how will I find Jupiter in the night sky?

At my father's suggestion, I call the Smithsonian's Skywatcher's Report hotline in nearby Washington, D.C. Listening to the recording, I learn that Jupiter is supposed to be within two degrees of the moon tonight. Other than the moon, it is the brightest object in the night sky right now.

The speaker on the recording doubts that the comet collision will produce anything visible to amateur astronomers. But it can't hurt to look, he says. "Maybe we'll be pleasantly surprised."

I check the The Washington Post, but their article is even more pessimistic. It says that researchers believe that the comet fragments have already broken up during their approach to Jupiter. They think the comet crash is going to "fizzle."

I call a friend who tells me that there will be a press conference on the comet impacts at 10 p.m. on the NASA Channel. We both agree to watch it.

Before the NASA briefing begins, I peek outside. The moon is almost full and readily visible. Above it and to the right, a lonely "star" shines brightly ... Jupiter!

I wonder how that planet is faring now that it has been hit with the first piece of Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9. Hoping against hope that it wasn't a fizzle, I go back inside and tune in to the NASA Channel to find out.


"Not a Dud!" (10 p.m. NASA Comet Impact Briefing)

From the moment the NASA briefing begins, it becomes clear that this comet crash will be anything but uneventful. The Hubble Space Telescope pictures from the first comet fragment impact are nothing short of Hubble Space Telescope Image of Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 Fragment A Impact  
(click to go to NASA description and enlargement) spectacular -- and Fragment A was one of the smaller fragments! Thus begins a weeklong television drama played out on the NASA Channel, in which scientific progress -- with all of its discoveries and delays and debates -- will unfold on a daily basis for all the world to see.

Dr. Heidi Hammel, the Hubble Space Telescope's team leader, begins by discussing an image from the Hubble that is displayed on our screen. It was taken with the telescope's Wide Field Planetary Camera using a blue filter. Jupiter appears as a big gray ball. But something dark is visible in the lower left-hand region -- something that wasn't there yesterday. An enlargement shows the dark object to be a black spot partially surrounded by some lighter-colored smudges. This is the impact site of Fragment A, Heidi explains.

According to Heidi, most of the images received thus far look similar to the one shown, with dark impact features on a light background. The exception is in the methane band, where the image is reversed and the impact features look bright.

Later in the briefing we learn that those dark markings in the impact region are a surprise to scientists. New features on celestial bodies such as Jupiter are typically bright instead of dark.

The width of the enlarged box is "about two Earth diameters," Heidi states to my surprise, adding, "so that structure that you're seeing -- that circular pattern -- is about the size of the Earth!"

The image with the black spot is from the second sweep of Hubble across Jupiter. Since the Hubble spacecraft orbits the Earth, it cannot image Jupiter during that half of its orbit when the Earth is blocking its view of the planet. During the first sweep, the Hubble telescope obtained images of a bright "plume" that rose some 1,000 kilometers (621 miles) above the edge of Jupiter after the first impact and then flattened. (A kilometer is about 0.62137 miles, roughly 5/8 of a mile.) Those images are not available for release yet, but Heidi says they should be ready tomorrow morning.

Dr. Heidi Hammel Demonstrates Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 Trajectory (Video, 2.7 MB) Heidi uses a grapefruit-sized globe and a marking pen to demonstrate the geometry of the comet collisions with Jupiter from the Earth's vantage point. The globe represents Jupiter, and the pen represents the train of comet fragments. Heidi holds the globe in one hand and gestures with the pen in her other hand, pointing it upward at the Jupiter globe and approaching it from behind at a shallow angle. The comet fragments, she explains, will be approaching Jupiter's South Pole at an angle and hitting on the far side that we cannot see.

However, due to Jupiter's rapid rotation, each comet fragment crash site will come into view shortly after impact, allowing Earth-based observers and telescopes to see the effects of those impacts within five or ten minutes.

Spinning Jupiter Hubble Space Telescope Composite, Take 1 (Video, 2.8 MB) A video is presented in which a colorful Jupiter spins on its axis. This is a composite of five high-resolution images taken from the Hubble Space Telescope. A computer enhancement was used to knit the images together and project them onto a sphere. Heidi apologizes that the image is rougher than it could be. It was created by Eric de Young from data received just 18 hours ago, so they haven't had time to clean it up yet. The planet is divided into segments, like an orange. At each division, a diffuse vertical line with bluish overtones is seen.

The spinning Jupiter image shows the planet's appearance before the comet impacts. Heidi proudly points out that the image demonstrates the "amazing quality of the images from the Wide Field Camera" of the Hubble Space Telescope, and I marvel at its detail. The planet has an orange hue, with bands of lighter and darker color encircling it. I watch for the Great Red Spot to appear, that famous storm on Jupiter. In this color image, it is readily identifiable as it slowly spins past, appearing as a large, orange-tan, squashed oval just below the equator.

The dramatic image of the Fragment A impact site is displayed again, and Heidi makes no attempt to conceal her excitement: "It's a new feature on Jupiter," she smiles. "And we're going to have twenty more of them ... even brighter ... "

"It's going to be a great week!"

July 16, 1994 10 p.m. NASA Shoemaker-Levy 9 Comet Impact Briefing Panel The NASA briefing is being broadcast live from the Space Telescope Science Institute (STSI) in Baltimore. Moderator Don Savage of the NASA Public Affairs Office introduces the other five panelists on Heidi's team. Each is a member of at least one or two Hubble Space Telescope camera and spectrograph teams. Three are affiliated with the Space Telescope Science Institute: Dr. Hal Weaver, Dr. Keith Noll, and Dr. Melissa McGrath. Seated between those last two are Dr. John Clark of the University of Michigan and Dr. Bob West of Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

Dr. Hal Weaver reinforces Heidi's prediction with his own enthusiastic proclamation. "First of all, I'd just like to say it looks like this comet was not a dud!" Hal says exuberantly as soon as he has the floor. "Let it ring out to the rest of the world!" He goes on to say that there's no evidence from the Hubble Space Telescope to support those earlier reports that the comet chunks were breaking up.

Hal contends that the height of the plume that was imaged on the first Hubble sweep provides "very strong evidence" that the fragments are penetrating deeply into Jupiter's atmosphere. He believes a broken-up comet fragment would not have been capable of creating such a huge plume nor penetrating so deeply.

The excitement of the Hubble scientists is vividly demonstrated in a video that shows them seeing the Fragment A impact site images for the first time. Imagine the scene. All the team members have done their very best to carry out this first experiment. They have commanded the Hubble to point in what they hope will be the right direction, using what they hope will be the right equipment, based on the best impact timing predictions available... all on the off chance that there might be something to see, and that they might get lucky enough to actually capture it. But given the relatively small size of Fragment A, along with the possibility that it might have already disintegrated, they are not expecting much.

Now it's time to see the fruits of their labor. A half dozen faces stare intently at a computer screen that we can't see, because it's facing away from us. Dr. Heidi Hammel is closest to it; she points at a spot on the screen that corresponds to the latitude where the fragments should be hitting. "This is the latitude [where] we're looking for something -- right there," she states. All eyes remain glued to the screen. Then --

"Look!" Heidi breathes. Her voice goes up several pitches: "Look!!"

Behind her, Dr. Melissa McGrath gasps, "Oh, wow!"

"Oh, my God! Look at that!" Heidi exclaims. Her excitement and disbelief is mirrored in the shocked expressions on all the other faces.

As realization dawns, the room erupts into excited shrieks, cheers, and claps. The commotion dies down, only to resume several seconds later when another unexpected sight is revealed.

Expressions of amazement abound: "Wow!" "Oh, my God!" "Did you see it?" "Look at it!" "I don't believe this!" "Whoa!" "Unbelievable! Wow!"

Jubilation reigns.

Hubble Space Telscope Scientists Seeing Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 Fragment A Images for the First Time (Video, 9.8 MB) Cut to a celebration. Heidi and Melissa together uncork a bottle of champagne. Heidi takes the first swig and holds out the bottle towards Melissa. The film stops before we get to see how the rest of this scene plays out.

I am amazed that they showed it at all. Do they really want that broadcast on national television? Besides, don't any of those revelers care about poor 'ol Jupiter? That planet has just experienced a cataclysmic disturbance the size of our own Earth!

Yet the video has an honesty about it that is altogether charming. In this age of carefully prerecorded sound bites, it is refreshing to get an uncensored glimpse of scientists in their less conservative moments, caught up in the excitement of discovery. Too often, we see only the serious side of science, when the findings have already been made and dissected, when the excitement has faded, when the human element has been filtered out. I'm already beginning to like this NASA Channel for allowing me to observe science-in-the-making.

Next, members of the audience are invited to ask questions. Given that the Hubble was able to capture signs of the first impact a couple of hours after it occurred, a reporter asks whether the residue from the comet impacts might remain visible on Jupiter a lot longer than anticipated. Dr. Bob West hypothesizes that we might still be seeing residual effects from the comet "a year from now." That's a far cry from today's earlier predictions that we might not see anything at all!

Bob Cook from Newsday asks if the comet fragment might have penetrated into the water clouds that scientists believe exist deep in Jupiter's atmosphere. Dr. Keith Noll responds that evidence of the water clouds is something that they will be "looking for very keenly."

"If we see a huge increase in the amount of water, more than could have come from the comet itself," says Keith, "we'll know something about the energy of the impactor and how deeply it penetrated into the atmosphere."

Keith says that scientists also hope the comet fragments will penetrate deeply enough into Jupiter's atmosphere to "churn up" chemicals and "possibly allow us to see molecules that until now have been too deep in Jupiter's atmosphere for us to sense remotely."

An unidentified reporter voices the question that is foremost in my mind: "In the past few weeks, we've been told that amateur astronomers have little chance of seeing this event," he observes. "Does what you've seen so far make you a little more optimistic about what the unwashed masses, or the 'semi-washed' masses, might see?"

Dr. Melissa McGrath takes the question. "The most dramatic results we've seen so far, brightness-wise, have actually been in the infrared," she states. In visible light, she believes, "it's unlikely that this would have been seen." Her thinking is that the plume was very small and close to the bright planet, which would require the high resolution of the Hubble Space Telescope in order to see it.

But she would love to be proven wrong. She steals a quick glance at her watch. "We know that the B impact is at 10:30," she states, casting a meaningful glance at her colleagues, "and some of us would actually like to go outside with our binoculars at 10:30 and look!" Laughter erupts. "Because B's a lot bigger than A!" With 10:30 less than ten minutes away, it's no wonder Melissa is on edge. Noting that Fragment A wasn't as bright as B in visible light, she reiterates, "I think we should all go look!"

It is more of a plea than a proposition. As heartbreaking as it must be for her to miss this opportunity, she is too much the professional to just march off the set and go outside. Alas, everyone else on the panel seems to be determined -- or resigned -- to stick it out for the remainder of the press conference. How can these astronomer-scientists be so composed, I wonder, when they're on the verge of missing their one opportunity in a lifetime to watch a comet hit a planet?


Looking for a Flash


"This Is Just the Preview!"

A reporter from BBC Television seeks to sum up the cataclysmic events on Jupiter in terms that ordinary people can relate to. "It's quite clear that the science team is very excited about this," he begins seriously, "and you guys are going to have a lot of data to go through for months to come."

"But what's in it for the guy on the street? What does it mean to him?"

Dr. John Clark from the panel blurts out:

 

"He can be glad he doesn't live on Jupiter!"

 

This breaks up the house. After the laughter and applause die down, John gives a more serious answer. "We've never had the opportunity to know in advance that a comet -- or a broken-up asteroid or whatever it is -- was going to hit a planet. This is the first time in the history of humans we've been able to look at this and study it. We're lucky now that it's a big one so we can really see the effects."

As to its relevance to Earthlings, Clark believes it might shed some light on how the Earth originated. "We believe that the Earth was formed by accretion of material coming in from space," he states. People have also theorized that an object from space "might have been the cause of the demise of the dinosaurs." By studying the comet impacts, scientists hope to "learn more about the general process and the history of the Earth -- and maybe the future."

"Can I just add to that?" offers Heidi. "I think there's a little bit more to it than just the science. Of course we're interested in the science here," she acknowledges, "because that's what we do ... "

" ... but it's a fascinating thing! I mean, there are things whizzing around the solar system, smashing into other things with huge explosions!"

"And that's just really incredible to think about," Heidi continues. Although it might not be obvious when you look up at the stars in the sky, "it's a dynamic universe," Heidi declares, "and this is just a key example of some of the energetics that go on!"

A reporter in the front row asks, "What do you expect from the larger impacts down the line, with what you know now?"

John, Keith, and Heidi all look at each other and laugh. How can they possibly make a prediction now that Fragment A has wildly exceeded all their expectations? But someone needs to say something ...

"More spots!!" gasps Heidi in disbelief.

"This is just the preview," Hal picks up the theme, "and it looks like it's going to be an even bigger show for the rest of the week!"

"The only thing special about this one was that it was the first one," says Heidi, regaining her composure. "And we've got some twenty-odd more to go, including some much brighter ones."

At the end of the briefing, moderator Don Savage announces that tomorrow morning's conference will be held at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time (EDT). Then the image and videos are replayed for the benefit of the media, beginning with that first image of Jupiter sporting the dark bruise from Fragment A.


Craters!

Now, that picture really excites me. Wouldn't Jupiter's appearance in visible light be similar? After all, that image was taken through a blue filter, and blue light is part of the visible spectrum. No one has dared to suggest it yet ... but wouldn't a spot that size be visible even through a ground-based telescope?

If Jupiter were to appear as a decent-sized disk through a telescope, I reason, then a large splotch such as the one left by Fragment A ought to be visible -- even if only as a darkening in one corner of the planet.

Of course, I have never even looked through a telescope before ...

But even the crudest of telescopes, I imagine, should show Jupiter as a disk instead of a pinprick. And if a small piece of comet like Fragment A could create such a sizable mark on Jupiter, what will happen when that much larger Fragment Q hits the planet on Wednesday?

For the first time in history, mankind has been blessed with the opportunity to watch a comet and a planet collide. And I am lucky enough to be alive while it is happening! I am willing to take a chance on buying a telescope if it means I might be able to witness this event and its aftermath firsthand. But I will need to act quickly if I want to see anything. It might take me some time to learn how to use my new telescope -- and whatever might be visible now probably won't stay visible for long! Moreover, if anything actually can be seen, hordes of people will soon be lining up to buy telescopes! To maximize my chances of seeing anything at all, I need to beat the rush and buy a telescope soon!

But there is more to my hunger for a telescope than merely the desire to look for spots on Jupiter. During my forays outside to observe Jupiter tonight, I had noticed something fascinating ...

To locate Jupiter in my binoculars, I would first train them on the moon, which was much easier to find. From the moon, it was but a short hop above and to the right to find Jupiter.

Jupiter appeared through the binoculars as a mere speck of bright light. But the moon! I had never seen the moon look like that before! I could see features on it: bright rays and dark areas. And at the edge of the moon, where the illuminated part met the shadows, I could actually see craters. Craters!

I had no idea that so much detail could be seen on the moon with a simple pair of binoculars. Imagine what a telescope might show!




© 2019 by Carol Connolly Engle. (Images are from NASA.)